From Schengen to ‘Brexit,’ Risks to the Euro Are Stacking Up by Lucy Meakin Potential ECB stimulus just one of several downside risks Expectations for euro volatility climb to highest since 2012 It’s not only European Central Bank stimulus that has the potential to hurt the Euro (FXE). From the possibility that Britain might leave the European Union and the...
Something strange is happening in the metals market by Alex Rosenberg Silver (SLV) typically does what Gold (GLD) does, only more so. But it now appears to be having trouble keeping up the pace. Over the past 10 years, the two metals have enjoyed a very tight correlation of 0.81. And each daily move in gold has tended to be...
Historical pattern says the risk of a 2016 bear market is zero by Simon Maierhofer In physics, escape velocity is the minimum speed needed for an object to break free from the gravitational attraction of a massive body. What is the “escape velocity” needed for stocks to break their down trend? Unlike in physics, there is no fail-proof formula for...
Citi: Here Comes a Global Recession Growth is likely to fall apart. by Julie Verhage After a few years of reasonably calm markets and stable growth around the world, Citigroup Inc. says the chances of a global recession are already high and only going up. "In our view, global growth is at a highly precarious point, after 2-3 years of relative calm,"...
Trade of Decade or Value Trap? Emerging Markets Debate Heats Up by Ye Xie Bulls say valuations are getting too cheap to ignore Bears point to weak growth, rising leverage, policy risks The great emerging markets debate is heating up. In the bull camp, money managers from BlackRock Inc. to Franklin Templeton made the case this week that valuations in...
10 Stocks George Soros Is Buying for 2016 by Emily Stewart There's nothing boring about George Soros' investing — at least not for those who follow his stock picks each quarter. The Hungarian-born investor and philanthropist has amassed a more than $20 billion fortune. Over the years, he has made enormous plays in bonds, stocks and currencies. A 1992 short...
Wall Street Gloom Is at Odds With Profit Gains by Thomas Black S&P profit rises 1.2 percent outside energy's `black hole' Market pessimism is obscuring some companies' improved results Vulcan Materials Co.’s (VMC) profit doubled in the fourth quarter and is forecast to expand 50 percent this year. Still, the construction-materials company’s shares have fallen 6.1 percent in three months....
BlackRock Senior Director Explains the Three Ways That Negative Rates Are a Failed Idea Is this why markets are revolting? by Luke Kawa More and more central bankers have moved into the next frontier of monetary policy by enacting negative interest rates in an attempt to stimulate their economies. Though the limited data available thus far make it difficult to...
Is the S&P 500 a 2008-style meltdown or a bear trap? by Simon Maierhofer Intense selling dominated the first 20 days of 2016, but the next 20 days were chewed up by sideways trading without any net progress. Here is the year-to-date “tale of two markets” at a glance. Periods of intense selling tend to spark discussions about market crashes...
5-Year bull trend is ending, breaking below support by Chris Kimble The Power of the Pattern would describe a bull trend, based upon a series of higher lows and higher highs. Using this definition, the broadest of indices in the states, are “breaking 5-year rising trends!” This could break the heart of the bulls. This 2-pack reflects that these two broad markets...
